PERAMALAN JUMLAH PENUMPANG KERETA API DI PULAU JAWA MENGGUNAKAN METODE HOLT WINTERS EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING DAN FUZZY TIME SERIES MARKOV CHAIN
نویسندگان
چکیده
One of the public transportation choices by is train. The number train passengers on island Java often increases and decreases in certain months. PT.KAI can monitor forecasting. Forecasting aims to predict so that ready provide best service. This study uses monthly data Island from January 2015 February 2020. multiplicative holt winters exponential smoothing fuzzy time series markov chain. Holt Winters method used contains trend seasonal elements experience fluctuations simultaneously. chain a combination with which obtain greatest probability using transition matrix. Based analysis results, it be concluded better at predicting because value sMAPE smaller, 3,0643% 5,2955%.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Jurnal Gaussian : Jurnal Statistika Undip
سال: 2023
ISSN: ['2339-2541']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.14710/j.gauss.12.1.104-115